NVAR Region 2024 Residential Real Estate Market Forecast Mid-Year Update

 

While both the residential and commercial continue to stabilize, the region’s real estate market still has not reached a post-pandemic equilibrium. The inflation rate has continued to slow, with core inflation declining steadily since September 2022. Additionally, the national labor market has remained stronger than anticipated. While hopes of a soft-landing remain, there are continued signs of weakness

Northern Virginia July 2024 home sales increased by 13.5% from last July providing more optimism in a year marked by ups and downs. Contributing to the growth, inventory increased 30% over July 2023, giving buyers more choices.


July’s supply of homes grew from a year ago, providing consumers with more options in a market that has been hungry to buy. This desire for housing continues to drive prices higher, but buyers are enjoying the availability of more homes.


The spike in inventory and homes sales in July are more good signs that our post-pandemic real estate market is getting back to what we previously considered normal. Housing is a staple of our region’s economy, so these indices are important to watch to better understand the health of Northern Virginia.


The median sold price in July 2024 was $735,000, up 6.4% compared to July 2023 but down from June 2024’s $780,000. With supply more plentiful, homes in July remained on the market longer at 16 days, up 6.7% from the previous year and up from June 2024’s 14 days. Supply jumped 30% from last July, reaching a 1.3 month’s supply, which is also identical to June 2024. This level is higher than the five-year average of a 1.2 month’s supply.

The Northern Virginia Association of Realtors® reports on home sales activity for Fairfax and Arlington counties, the cities of Alexandria, Fairfax, and Falls Church and the towns of Vienna, Herndon, and Clifton

 





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